Gartner today released their annual Emerging Technologies Hype Report – you can buy the official report here. I’ve embedded the Hype Cycles form 2008 – 2010 so you can see how certain technologies are tracking. I suggest you check out the 1st image below to get explanation of how the graph is defined.
Hype Cycle Definition
Note: As you can see below, Augmented Reality was looking at more than 10 years adoption by mainstream…
Note: In one year, Augmented Reality went from more than 10 years to mainstream adoption down to 5-10 years.
Note: AR Continues to climb so expect even more of it in Q4 2010 and all of 2011
Conclusion: AR has been on a unbelievable trajectory and will continue so with mobile and kiosk-based AR sure to capture the imagination of marketers everywhere – especially in 2011. Throw in Kinect and the adoption of ‘gestural controls’ in the digital living room, and I think you’re going to see much faster mainstream adoption of AR than predicted here. If you’re sick of hearing of AR already, I think you’re going to need to deal with it because it’s not going away anytime soon…
P.S. The webinar also had another interesting graphic showing a different view of information in the hype cycle. I personally think AR is transformational but that’s just me Embedded below.