August 4th, 2010

Where Is Augmented Reality On Gartner’s 2010 Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle?

Gartner today released their annual Emerging Technologies Hype Report – you can buy the official report here. I’ve embedded the Hype Cycles form 2008 – 2010 so you can see how certain technologies are tracking.   I suggest you check out the 1st image below to get explanation of how the graph is defined.

Hype Cycle Definition

Gartner Hype Cycle Phases Explained

2008

Note: As you can see below, Augmented Reality was looking at more than 10 years adoption by mainstream…

gartner-2008-hype-cycle

2009

Note: In one year, Augmented Reality went from more than 10 years to mainstream adoption down to 5-10 years.

gartner-emerging-technologies-hype-cycle-2009.jpg

2010

Note: AR Continues to climb so expect even more of it in Q4 2010 and all of 2011

Gartner Hype Cycle Emerging Technology 2010

Conclusion: AR has been on a unbelievable trajectory and will continue so with mobile and kiosk-based AR sure to capture the imagination of marketers everywhere – especially in 2011.  Throw in Kinect and the adoption of ‘gestural controls’ in the digital living room, and I think you’re going to see much faster mainstream adoption of AR than predicted here.  If you’re sick of hearing of AR already, I think you’re going to need to deal with it because it’s not going away anytime soon…

P.S. The webinar also had another interesting graphic showing a different view of information in the hype cycle.  I personally think AR is transformational but that’s just me :-) Embedded below.

Gartner Emerging Technology Benefit Matrix 2010

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